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538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
In early June he began to cross-post his daily "Today's Polls" updates on "The Plank" in The New Republic. Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races.
As results came in, 538 analysts were breaking them down in real time with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below. Latest Developments
This is a list of opinion polls taken on the presidency of Joe Biden in 2021. To navigate between years, see opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration . For 2022 opinion polling, see 2022 opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration .
The site reports on political races and projections, and features the average result of all current presidential polls and also offers a best-guess projection of Electoral College votes. The site's poll average is a "widely referenced source". Major news outlets including CNN, Fox News, and the New York Times often cite its polling figures.
According to polling and analysis website 538, Trump leads the Republican field in New Hampshire with 43% of likely primary voters planning to cast a ballot for the former president.
538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win; Opinion polls: Turnout: 66.6% 6.5 pp
Quinnipiac University Poll receives national recognition for its independent surveys of residents throughout the United States. It conducts public opinion polls on politics and public policy as a public service as well as for academic research. Poll results are also aggregated by ABC News' FiveThirtyEight.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states.
Daily Kos and FiveThirtyEight analyses of at least 38 races in September 2023 determined that the party outperformed the partisan lean by an average of 10 percent.